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Stop known per-question bot errors from failing runs - #393
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…ors failing runs - NumericDistribution._get_cdf_at matched segments with a 1e-10 location tolerance but did not clamp the interpolation fraction. Repeated percentile values at the lower bound are nudged into points only ~1e-12 apart, so location 0 extrapolated to a CDF height of ~1.0 and standardization failed with a non-increasing CDF. The fraction is now clamped to the segment. - Add questions to POST_IDS_TO_NOT_RAISE_ERRORS_FOR that fail every main-site run for one or two bots while other bots forecast them: 20845 (forecasts entirely past the upper bound), 45463 (treated as resolved), and seven US-China/Russia questions rejected by Moonshot's content filter. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Summary
Adds questions to
POST_IDS_TO_NOT_RAISE_ERRORS_FORthat fail every main-site run for one or two bots while the other bots forecast them. The errors are still logged; they just no longer fail the workflow.In the last main-site window, no other bot errored on these questions, so the entries do not currently hide other errors.
Test plan
TZ=UTC).🤖 Generated with Claude Code